All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
New Haven Invitational |
Monroe County |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/26 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
229 |
221 |
206 |
186 |
153 |
266 |
749 |
191 |
332 |
234 |
276 |
247 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
179 |
159 |
186 |
153 |
244 |
229 |
191 |
332 |
234 |
276 |
247 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
New Haven Invitational |
Monroe County |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 9 |
Ian Shaw |
12 |
15:47 |
15:57 |
15:34 |
15:38 |
15:47 |
16:03 |
|
15:45 |
15:54 |
15:38 |
15:53 |
15:51 |
| 41 |
Jack Gillard |
11 |
16:16 |
|
|
16:09 |
15:56 |
16:29 |
|
16:01 |
16:39 |
16:21 |
16:22 |
16:17 |
| 67 |
Wil Zinkan |
12 |
16:24 |
16:12 |
16:13 |
16:34 |
16:00 |
16:18 |
|
16:16 |
18:01 |
16:26 |
16:28 |
16:25 |
| 122 |
Neal Alderson |
10 |
16:43 |
|
16:22 |
16:48 |
16:38 |
16:41 |
|
16:42 |
16:30 |
17:08 |
16:48 |
16:47 |
| 203 |
Josh Miller |
11 |
16:59 |
16:17 |
16:28 |
16:17 |
|
|
|
17:09 |
17:29 |
16:52 |
17:28 |
17:07 |
| 264 |
Matthew Kawanishi |
12 |
17:08 |
16:44 |
17:11 |
16:46 |
16:32 |
17:16 |
|
16:46 |
17:57 |
16:53 |
17:23 |
18:01 |
| 326 |
Mason Moore |
11 |
17:16 |
16:57 |
17:02 |
17:16 |
18:15 |
17:19 |
|
17:02 |
17:10 |
17:08 |
17:21 |
17:36 |
| 384 |
Alan Morris |
12 |
17:25 |
17:32 |
17:44 |
17:05 |
17:45 |
17:25 |
|
17:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 459 |
Reid Hubbard |
9 |
17:33 |
18:15 |
17:39 |
17:13 |
17:38 |
17:31 |
|
17:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 473 |
Matt Arnold |
11 |
17:36 |
17:30 |
17:26 |
17:51 |
17:08 |
17:39 |
|
17:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 489 |
Peter Valentino |
11 |
17:37 |
17:55 |
17:19 |
17:34 |
17:39 |
17:47 |
|
17:34 |
|
|
|
|
| 515 |
Nicholas Borders |
11 |
17:39 |
18:01 |
17:34 |
17:53 |
17:13 |
17:52 |
|
17:35 |
|
|
|
|
| 567 |
Zach Cornwell |
11 |
17:44 |
17:10 |
17:04 |
18:37 |
17:02 |
17:56 |
|
18:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 580 |
Neil Egyhazi |
11 |
17:46 |
17:32 |
17:19 |
17:44 |
17:52 |
17:50 |
|
17:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 596 |
Sam Plumer |
10 |
17:47 |
17:38 |
17:38 |
17:45 |
17:34 |
17:56 |
18:08 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 618 |
John Asplund |
10 |
17:49 |
17:33 |
|
|
17:50 |
18:07 |
17:48 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 635 |
Zander West |
9 |
17:50 |
17:40 |
17:45 |
|
18:00 |
17:57 |
17:46 |
17:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 654 |
Luke Kidd |
10 |
17:52 |
|
17:52 |
17:56 |
18:02 |
17:56 |
17:35 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 821 |
Billy Moore |
11 |
18:07 |
17:47 |
17:55 |
17:53 |
18:09 |
18:14 |
18:09 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
|
| 979 |
Mitchell Clarke |
12 |
18:18 |
17:58 |
|
18:15 |
18:30 |
18:22 |
|
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 980 |
Patrick Morris |
10 |
18:18 |
18:25 |
18:29 |
18:30 |
18:06 |
18:40 |
18:09 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,353 |
Adam Weiler |
12 |
18:46 |
19:40 |
18:50 |
19:22 |
18:40 |
|
18:40 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,364 |
Noah Sauer |
11 |
18:47 |
|
18:39 |
19:21 |
18:34 |
19:09 |
18:25 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,386 |
Teddy Lashley |
11 |
18:48 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brendan Gillam |
9 |
19:06 |
20:05 |
|
19:12 |
18:32 |
19:02 |
19:20 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
Aidan Crowley |
12 |
19:14 |
19:22 |
|
19:47 |
19:11 |
|
19:13 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reed Baker |
9 |
19:35 |
20:50 |
19:32 |
19:56 |
19:52 |
18:52 |
19:31 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Callum Thurston |
11 |
19:47 |
19:30 |
20:08 |
22:09 |
19:48 |
|
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
5.7 |
226 |
4.6 |
8.4 |
14.3 |
16.4 |
13.8 |
10.8 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.3 |
71 |
75.1 |
21.5 |
3.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
37 |
91.2 |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
31 |
86.6 |
13.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Shaw |
100% |
10.6 |
0.1 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
45.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
|
93.9% |
| Wil Zinkan |
100% |
61.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
80.8% |
| Neal Alderson |
100% |
99.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
23.2% |
| Josh Miller |
100% |
131.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.8% |
| Matthew Kawanishi |
100% |
146.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Mason Moore |
100% |
161.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Shaw |
100% |
2.5 |
15.2 |
23.8 |
22.7 |
13.3 |
10.6 |
7.0 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
10.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
4.5 |
7.0 |
10.1 |
11.2 |
11.7 |
10.8 |
9.7 |
7.5 |
5.9 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Wil Zinkan |
100% |
13.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
9.2 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Neal Alderson |
100% |
24.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Josh Miller |
100% |
38.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Kawanishi |
100% |
47.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Moore |
100% |
56.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Shaw |
100% |
1.5 |
35.3 |
31.1 |
14.9 |
15.1 |
3.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
5.3 |
|
0.5 |
4.4 |
6.3 |
26.2 |
38.5 |
18.2 |
4.5 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Wil Zinkan |
100% |
6.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
7.2 |
21.8 |
39.5 |
19.2 |
6.7 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Neal Alderson |
100% |
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.4 |
18.5 |
23.6 |
19.5 |
13.4 |
9.1 |
6.6 |
3.6 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Josh Miller |
100% |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
6.7 |
10.4 |
13.2 |
13.0 |
14.8 |
15.2 |
9.7 |
6.7 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Kawanishi |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
7.1 |
11.2 |
14.1 |
17.1 |
13.9 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Moore |
100% |
17.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
6.6 |
10.6 |
16.4 |
15.4 |
16.4 |
11.5 |
6.8 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Shaw |
1.5 |
35.2 |
32.4 |
15.2 |
17.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Gillard |
4.6 |
|
0.5 |
5.2 |
7.9 |
65.0 |
19.0 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wil Zinkan |
5.4 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.7 |
18.9 |
63.4 |
11.0 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Neal Alderson |
7.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
42.0 |
29.4 |
13.6 |
11.3 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josh Miller |
9.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
9.7 |
19.8 |
20.3 |
34.6 |
11.8 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matthew Kawanishi |
11.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.8 |
6.3 |
11.1 |
20.2 |
42.2 |
15.2 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mason Moore |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
6.7 |
18.9 |
57.1 |
8.0 |
4.2 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
